The last time Christmas fell on a Wednesday was back on 2013 when The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug hit theaters in the middle of Frozen’s crowning or being a pop culture icon. It then grew the day after Christmas. If history repeats itself by the end of business today, Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker will earn around $34 million-$37 million tonight after a boffo $32 million Christmas Day gross. It’s the second biggest Christmas Day gross ever behind (You guessed it!) the $49 million Christmas Day gross of The Force Awakens but that was on that film’s second Friday and it was during a weekend that time. Oh sure! Say it’s the biggest Christmas Day gross that happened on a weekday ever all you want but that’s a minor record. Yes, the critics didn’t care for the J.J. Abrams helmed series finale but many many people that I talk to (Alongside myself) seem to either like it or absolutely adore it. If it doesn’t collapse then it’ll enter the weekend with $600 million+ globally. If all goes well and holds on better than The Last Jedi, then it’ll end the weekend with $800 million+ globally which would absolutely put it on pace to pass the $1.3 billion gross of The Last Jedi before it hits iTunes. As for its second week gross, look for $85 million-$97 million.
Sony’s (so good that it’s On par with the last film) Jumanji: The Next Level was no chump either earning $12 million for an insane $42 million-$48 million third week gross. It could surely end its theater run just over $300 million if it can continue its momentum. Oh! And look for Jumanji: The Rise of Bravestone (Where Mike, Lucas, Dustin and Robin go into the game and they have to beat it to get out.) in 2-3 years. I will gladly have Sony pay me $150 million for using that title.
Little Women proved that men don’t have to go to the movies to make it a hit as the drama earned $6 million for a possible over $12 million debut and $23 million five day debut. It’s reviews are great however, I don’t have the CinemaScore results yet. So it’s hard to tell if audiences like it as much as the critics.
We had a surprise entry in the top five as Adam Sandler’s well received Uncut Gems earned a boffo (for an A24 film) $5 million yesterday for a possible $11 million-$15 million debut. I don’t have CinemaScore results yet for this film either but I’m pretty sure it got an A-.
Spies in Disguise proved once again that Blue Sky will never be as popular as Pixar. That said, it earned an okay $4 million for a possible $10 million debut (Making it the lowest debut ever for the house that Scrat built). It’s reviews are decent but… And I hate to sound like a broken record… but… I don’t have the CinemaScore results yet. The only film that has CinemaScore results is Just Mercy (Which it along with 1917 (Which I will be surprised if it pulls an American Sniper on us and debuts to $75 million+ next month did amazing in limited release) which earned an A+.
Frozen 2 slid to sixth place with $4 million but it won’t stay there throughout the rest of the weekend. It will reach $400 million (And pass the original Frozen) by the end of business tonight. And if it doesn’t pass the original Frozen globally, then blame Japan!